# Vumarii Patreon announcement: bounded public-recovery audit

## Why this matters

A contemporary 5 September 2018 Reddit post records a Patreon link as an official
Tengri 137 announcement, saying a new puzzle might arrive the next year. The signed
2019 Vumarii image followed. That makes the link useful for chronology, but there is no
evidence that it contained a decryption key or instruction.

## Result

No byte-bearing public capture was returned by this bounded run. 17 archive request(s) did not complete cleanly, so this is not a negative archive census.

A returned empty response is evidence only about that endpoint; a timeout, gateway response,
or bot challenge is deliberately kept separate from an explicit absence. This is a bounded
archive result, not proof that the post never had content or cannot be found elsewhere.

## Contemporary context, carefully bounded

In the same thread, its Reddit author said that the Patreon description explained that
money would be spent on children and other help organisations. This is a contemporaneous
community account, not preserved Patreon text and not an author-signed statement. It is
evidence of a claimed charitable purpose, not evidence of a cipher key.

## Provenance

- Contemporary record: `archive/recon/reddit/r-tengri137-9dc4hc-tengri-137-is-active-again-they-send-me-a-message-and.md`
  (SHA-256 `f1b950a4e1d6fdd0d894764440c1e339d54be2b5d401215aac1f485afac37366`)
- Recorded URL: `https://www.patreon.com/posts/vumarii-21229946`
- Checked at: `2026-07-27T18:35:40+00:00`

## Direct page observation

The current public GET returned HTTP `403`; the saved response preview is
in the JSON audit. A blocked live page is not evidence for or against historic content.

## Public archives checked

### Wayback CDX

- `www.patreon.com/posts/vumarii-21229946`: HTTP `200`, `0` record(s).
- `patreon.com/posts/vumarii-21229946`: HTTP `None`, `unparsed` record(s).

### Arquivo.pt

- `www.patreon.com/posts/vumarii-21229946`: HTTP `200`, `unparsed` record(s).
- `patreon.com/posts/vumarii-21229946`: HTTP `200`, `unparsed` record(s).

### Common Crawl

The scan ran `prefix` queries for both natural host variants across `9`
collections, for `18` total queries. Final status counts: `{'404_no_captures': 2, 'network_error': 16}`.
Any gateway result remains visible in the JSON rather than being called an absence.

## What would close this lead

A fetchable archived record with content bytes, a contemporaneous screenshot/export with provenance, or authorised access to the creator/post page.

## Reproduce

```powershell
& '<bundled-python>' scripts\audit_vumarii_patreon_recovery.py
```

The scan performs fresh public network queries; the saved JSON records the exact
observation in this research run.
